UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 2

Aston Villa FC vs Fenerbahçe SK Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Wed 14 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
UEFA Champions League
Round
Matchweek 2
Venue
Villa Park, Birmingham, England

United Matchday prediction

Aston Villa FC win68%
Draw16%
Fenerbahçe SK win16%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
78%
Under 2.5 goals
22%
BTTS yes
69%
Over 1.5 goals
92%
Over 3.5 goals
60%
BTTS no
31%
Expected goals
2.83 – 1.34

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Aston Villa FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–18.3%
  • 3–17.8%
  • 2–06.2%
  • 1–15.9%
  • 3–05.8%
  • 2–25.6%
  • 4–15.5%
  • 3–25.3%

Team comparison

StatisticAston Villa FCFenerbahçe SK
Matches played44
Points per match2.251.25
Goals per match3.001.50
Goals conceded per match1.502.75
Home / away goals scored90
Home / away goals conceded16
Last 5 points95
Last 5 goals scored126
Last 5 goals conceded611
Win percentage75%25%

Aston Villa FC recent form

WWWL

Fenerbahçe SK recent form

DLDW

Recent form

Aston Villa FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 8 conceded

  • Dvs Brentford FC2–2
  • Wat Tottenham Hotspur FC3–2
  • Lvs Nottingham Forest FC1–2
  • Wat Club Brugge KV3–2
  • Dat Hull City AFC0–0

Fenerbahçe SK

0W 1D 0L in the last 1 · 1 scored, 1 conceded

  • Dvs AS Roma1–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 September 2026
Last updated: 14 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.