Serie A · Matchweek 11

AS Roma vs US Sassuolo Calcio Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 7 Nov, 19:45 (GMT)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 11
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AS Roma win79%
Draw13%
US Sassuolo Calcio win9%
Predicted score
3–0
Over 2.5 goals
76%
Under 2.5 goals
24%
BTTS yes
59%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
Over 3.5 goals
57%
BTTS no
41%
Expected goals
3.06 – 0.97

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour AS Roma, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Away defensive numbers work against US Sassuolo Calcio, who have shipped goals above the Serie A average on the road. AS Roma's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 3–08.6%
  • 2–08.4%
  • 3–18.3%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 4–06.5%
  • 4–16.3%
  • 1–05.5%
  • 1–15.3%

Team comparison

StatisticAS RomaUS Sassuolo Calcio
Matches played77
Points per match2.431.14
Goals per match2.291.71
Goals conceded per match0.432.00
Home / away goals scored106
Home / away goals conceded310
Last 5 points115
Last 5 goals scored89
Last 5 goals conceded311
Win percentage71%29%

AS Roma recent form

WWDDW

US Sassuolo Calcio recent form

DWLDL

Recent form

AS Roma

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wvs Genoa CFC2–0
  • Lvs Real Madrid3–4
  • Dat Como 19070–0
  • Dvs Inter Milan2–2
  • Wat Torino FC2–0

US Sassuolo Calcio

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat Frosinone Calcio2–4
  • Dvs AC Milan1–1
  • Lat AC Monza1–2
  • Wvs Juventus3–2
  • Dat Bologna FC 19092–2

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 17 October 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
681
1X2 accuracy
47.3%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.0%
Exact score
10.4%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.