Serie A · Matchweek 7

AS Roma vs Genoa CFC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 17 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AS Roma win81%
Draw12%
Genoa CFC win6%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
68%
Under 2.5 goals
32%
BTTS yes
47%
Over 1.5 goals
86%
Over 3.5 goals
46%
BTTS no
53%
Expected goals
2.81 – 0.69

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

AS Roma have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model expects fewer away goals given AS Roma's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour AS Roma, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–012.0%
  • 3–011.2%
  • 1–08.5%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 4–07.9%
  • 3–17.7%
  • 1–15.9%
  • 4–15.4%

Team comparison

StatisticAS RomaGenoa CFC
Matches played55
Points per match2.600.20
Goals per match2.800.60
Goals conceded per match0.602.00
Home / away goals scored81
Home / away goals conceded33
Last 5 points131
Last 5 goals scored143
Last 5 goals conceded310
Win percentage80%0%

AS Roma recent form

WWWWD

Genoa CFC recent form

LLLDL

Recent form

AS Roma

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 4 conceded

  • Dvs Inter Milan2–2
  • Wat Torino FC2–0
  • Dat Fenerbahçe SK1–1
  • Wvs Atalanta BC2–1
  • Wat US Lecce4–0

Genoa CFC

0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 10 conceded

  • Lat Parma Calcio 19131–2
  • Dvs Frosinone Calcio1–1
  • Lvs Como 19071–4
  • Lat SS Lazio0–1
  • Lvs SSC Napoli0–2

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.