Serie A
Parma Calcio 1913 vs AS Roma
Home
8%
Draw
14%
Away
78%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 7
AS Roma vs Genoa CFC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 17 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
AS Roma win77%
Draw14%
Genoa CFC win8%
- Predicted score
- 2–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 37%
- BTTS yes
- 47%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 84%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 41%
- BTTS no
- 53%
- Expected goals
- 2.57 – 0.71
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
AS Roma have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model expects fewer away goals given AS Roma's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour AS Roma, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.5%
- 3–010.7%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–18.8%
- 3–17.6%
- 1–16.9%
- 4–06.9%
- 4–14.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | AS Roma | Genoa CFC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 11 |
| Points per match | 2.45 | 1.18 |
| Goals per match | 2.82 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.91 | 1.45 |
| Home / away goals scored | 17 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 13 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 17 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 73% | 36% |
AS Roma recent form
WDWWW
Genoa CFC recent form
LWWWL
Recent form
AS Roma
1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded
- Lvs Real Madrid3–4
- Dat Como 19070–0
- Dvs Inter Milan2–2
- Wat Torino FC2–0
- Dat Fenerbahçe SK1–1
Genoa CFC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 9 conceded
- Wvs ACF Fiorentina2–1
- Lat Parma Calcio 19131–2
- Dvs Frosinone Calcio1–1
- Lvs Como 19071–4
- Lat SS Lazio0–1
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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Venezia FC vs Bologna FC 1909
Home
15%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
US Sassuolo Calcio vs SSC Napoli
Home
20%
Draw
18%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 69%
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Serie A
Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan
Home
16%
Draw
23%
Away
60%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 47%BTTS: 45%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.