Serie A
Genoa CFC vs ACF Fiorentina
Home
30%
Draw
23%
Away
47%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 5
AS Roma vs Inter Milan Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 19 Sept, 17:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
AS Roma win49%
Draw22%
Inter Milan win29%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 36%
- BTTS yes
- 64%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 84%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 42%
- BTTS no
- 36%
- Expected goals
- 1.89 – 1.41
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour AS Roma, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Inter Milan have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. AS Roma's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.8%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–07.0%
- 1–26.9%
- 2–06.6%
- 2–26.5%
- 3–15.8%
- 0–15.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | AS Roma | Inter Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals per match | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Home / away goals scored | 8 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 2 |
| Last 5 points | 13 | 13 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 14 | 15 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 80% | 80% |
AS Roma recent form
WWWWD
Inter Milan recent form
WWWWD
Recent form
AS Roma
4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 2 conceded
- Wat Torino FC2–0
- Dat Fenerbahçe SK1–1
- Wvs Atalanta BC2–1
- Wat US Lecce4–0
- Wvs ACF Fiorentina4–0
Inter Milan
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 8 conceded
- Wvs Udinese Calcio5–3
- Lat Real Madrid1–2
- Wvs SSC Napoli3–2
- Wat Cagliari Calcio1–0
- Wvs AC Monza4–1
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 17:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Serie A
US Lecce vs Bologna FC 1909
Home
39%
Draw
28%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 43%BTTS: 49%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
Cagliari Calcio vs Juventus
Home
36%
Draw
28%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 47%
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Udinese Calcio vs US Lecce
Home
42%
Draw
26%
Away
32%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 47%BTTS: 52%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.