Serie A
Parma Calcio 1913 vs AS Roma
Home
8%
Draw
14%
Away
78%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 13
AS Roma vs AC Monza Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 29 Nov, 17:00 (GMT)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 13
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
AS Roma win89%
Draw7%
AC Monza win4%
- Predicted score
- 4–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 88%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 12%
- BTTS yes
- 61%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 96%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 75%
- BTTS no
- 39%
- Expected goals
- 4.19 – 0.96
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model rates AS Roma's home scoring output above the Serie A average. Away defensive numbers work against AC Monza, who have shipped goals above the Serie A average on the road. AS Roma's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 4–07.6%
- 4–17.4%
- 3–07.3%
- 3–17.0%
- 5–06.4%
- 5–16.2%
- 2–05.2%
- 2–15.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | AS Roma | AC Monza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 11 |
| Points per match | 2.45 | 0.64 |
| Goals per match | 2.82 | 1.55 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.91 | 2.27 |
| Home / away goals scored | 17 | 8 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 16 |
| Last 5 points | 13 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 17 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 10 |
| Win percentage | 73% | 18% |
AS Roma recent form
WDWWW
AC Monza recent form
WLLLL
Recent form
AS Roma
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 17 scored, 10 conceded
- Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio3–0
- Lat Manchester United FC2–3
- Wat Udinese Calcio5–2
- Wvs Cagliari Calcio4–2
- Dat SSC Napoli3–3
AC Monza
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 10 conceded
- Lvs Atalanta BC0–1
- Lat Bologna FC 19091–2
- Lvs SSC Napoli1–4
- Lat Torino FC2–3
- Wvs Cagliari Calcio4–0
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 29 Nov, 17:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 8 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Serie A
Venezia FC vs Bologna FC 1909
Home
15%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
US Sassuolo Calcio vs SSC Napoli
Home
20%
Draw
18%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 69%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan
Home
16%
Draw
23%
Away
60%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 47%BTTS: 45%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.