UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 2

Arsenal FC vs Lille OSC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Tue 13 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
UEFA Champions League
Round
Matchweek 2
Venue
Emirates Stadium, London, England

United Matchday prediction

Arsenal FC win80%
Draw12%
Lille OSC win8%
Predicted score
3–0
Over 2.5 goals
78%
Under 2.5 goals
22%
BTTS yes
59%
Over 1.5 goals
92%
Over 3.5 goals
59%
BTTS no
41%
Expected goals
3.15 – 0.97

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Arsenal FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Arsenal FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 3–08.5%
  • 3–18.3%
  • 2–08.1%
  • 2–17.9%
  • 4–06.7%
  • 4–16.5%
  • 1–05.1%
  • 1–15.0%

Team comparison

StatisticArsenal FCLille OSC
Matches played44
Points per match2.500.25
Goals per match2.001.00
Goals conceded per match0.752.50
Home / away goals scored30
Home / away goals conceded03
Last 5 points101
Last 5 goals scored84
Last 5 goals conceded310
Win percentage75%0%

Arsenal FC recent form

WWDW

Lille OSC recent form

LLLD

Recent form

Arsenal FC

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wvs Leeds United FC2–1
  • Lat Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–3
  • Wat Sunderland AFC2–0
  • Wat SSC Napoli1–0
  • Wvs Chelsea FC2–1

Lille OSC

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wvs Le Havre AC1–0
  • Lat OGC Nice1–2
  • Wvs ES Troyes AC2–0
  • Lvs Real Betis Balompié2–3
  • Wat Toulouse FC1–0

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 22 September 2026
Last updated: 13 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.