Premier League · Matchweek 10

Arsenal FC vs Hull City AFC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 (GMT)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 10
Venue
Emirates Stadium, London, England

United Matchday prediction

Arsenal FC win66%
Draw20%
Hull City AFC win14%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Under 2.5 goals
47%
BTTS yes
47%
Over 1.5 goals
77%
Over 3.5 goals
31%
BTTS no
53%
Expected goals
2.00 – 0.79

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates Arsenal FC's home scoring output above the Premier League average. Hull City AFC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Arsenal FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Recent results also favour Arsenal FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–012.3%
  • 1–012.2%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–19.7%
  • 3–08.2%
  • 3–16.5%
  • 0–06.1%
  • 0–14.9%

Team comparison

StatisticArsenal FCHull City AFC
Matches played67
Points per match2.501.29
Goals per match1.671.14
Goals conceded per match0.831.00
Home / away goals scored74
Home / away goals conceded25
Last 5 points123
Last 5 goals scored75
Last 5 goals conceded57
Win percentage83%29%

Arsenal FC recent form

WWWLW

Hull City AFC recent form

DDLDL

Recent form

Arsenal FC

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wvs Lille OSC3–0
  • Wvs Leeds United FC2–1
  • Lat Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–3
  • Wat Sunderland AFC2–0
  • Wat SSC Napoli1–0

Hull City AFC

0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat Fulham FC0–1
  • Dvs Everton FC2–2
  • Lat Newcastle United FC1–2
  • Dat Chelsea FC2–2
  • Dvs Aston Villa FC0–0

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 17 October 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
672
1X2 accuracy
47.0%
BTTS accuracy
55.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
57.9%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.