Premier League
Coventry City FC vs Newcastle United FC
Home
16%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 55%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 8
Arsenal FC vs Everton FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 8
- Venue
- Emirates Stadium, London, England
United Matchday prediction
Arsenal FC win58%
Draw24%
Everton FC win18%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 57%
- BTTS yes
- 43%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 69%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 22%
- BTTS no
- 57%
- Expected goals
- 1.64 – 0.77
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model rates Arsenal FC's home scoring output above the Premier League average. The model credits Everton FC with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given Arsenal FC's home defensive numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.7%
- 2–012.0%
- 1–111.4%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–09.0%
- 0–16.9%
- 3–06.6%
- 3–15.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Arsenal FC | Everton FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 1 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 1 | 1 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 4 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 80% | 40% |
Arsenal FC recent form
WWWWL
Everton FC recent form
WDDDW
Recent form
Arsenal FC
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 4 conceded
- Lat Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–3
- Wat Sunderland AFC2–0
- Wat SSC Napoli1–0
- Wvs Chelsea FC2–1
- Wat Aston Villa FC1–0
Everton FC
2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 3 conceded
- Wvs Ipswich Town FC1–0
- Dat Tottenham Hotspur FC0–0
- Dvs Manchester United FC2–2
- Dat AFC Bournemouth1–1
- Wvs Crystal Palace FC2–0
Team news
Arsenal FC
- Kai Havertz returning to Arsenal to be assessed after suffering injury for Germany against Netherlands
- Transfer rumors, news: Arsenal want Yildiz as Al Hilal add Martinelli to short list
- Arsenal starlet Max Dowman to link up with England senior squad after mass withdrawals - Paper Talk
- Mykhailo Mudryk preferred Arsenal move before £88m Chelsea transfer - Paper Talk
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 3 October 2026
Last updated: 3 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 511
- 1X2 accuracy
- 47.0%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.7%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland AFC
Home
47%
Draw
24%
Away
30%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 59%BTTS: 60%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Ipswich Town FC vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
33%
Draw
25%
Away
43%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
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Premier League
Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC
Home
10%
Draw
16%
Away
74%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 51%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.