UEFA Champions League
Club Brugge KV vs Liverpool FC
Home
46%
Draw
17%
Away
37%
- Predicted score: 2–2Over 2.5: 93%BTTS: 89%
Low confidenceFull prediction
UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 5
Arsenal FC vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Tue 24 Nov, 20:00 (GMT)
- Competition
- UEFA Champions League
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- Emirates Stadium, London, England
United Matchday prediction
Arsenal FC win67%
Draw18%
Borussia Dortmund win15%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 68%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 32%
- BTTS yes
- 60%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 86%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 46%
- BTTS no
- 40%
- Expected goals
- 2.42 – 1.06
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model credits Borussia Dortmund with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given Arsenal FC's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.6%
- 2–09.0%
- 1–17.9%
- 3–17.7%
- 1–07.5%
- 3–07.3%
- 2–25.1%
- 4–14.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Arsenal FC | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 4 | 4 |
| Points per match | 2.50 | 2.25 |
| Goals per match | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 0 | 2 |
| Last 5 points | 10 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 75% | 75% |
Arsenal FC recent form
WWDW
Borussia Dortmund recent form
WLWW
Recent form
Arsenal FC
4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 3 conceded
- Wvs Hull City AFC1–0
- Wat SK Slavia Praha2–1
- Wat Liverpool FC1–0
- Wvs Everton FC2–0
- Dat Bayern Munich2–2
Borussia Dortmund
4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 5 conceded
- Wvs SV 07 Elversberg2–1
- Wvs Real Betis Balompié2–1
- Dat Bayern Munich2–2
- Wvs Eintracht Frankfurt1–0
- Wat Sabah FK2–1
Team news
Arsenal FC
- England squad announcement: Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta on Ben White recall, Gunners in the England squad and No
- Slavia Prague 1-2 Arsenal: Noni Madueke and Viktor Gyokeres on target as Gunners survive second-half scare
- Papers: Arteta using NASA to help fix Arsenal's injury woes
- Liverpool's unwanted record highlights creativity issue
Where to watch (UK)
UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Tue 24 Nov, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 3 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint-Germain vs AS Roma
Home
82%
Draw
9%
Away
8%
- Predicted score: 4–1Over 2.5: 92%BTTS: 77%
Low confidenceFull prediction
UEFA Champions League
Lille OSC vs Bayern Munich
Home
16%
Draw
15%
Away
70%
- Predicted score: 1–3Over 2.5: 85%BTTS: 75%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.