Eredivisie
FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen
Home
24%
Draw
17%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 85%BTTS: 80%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie · Matchweek 3
AFC Ajax vs Willem II Tilburg Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Tue 15 Sept, 19:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Eredivisie
- Round
- Matchweek 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
AFC Ajax win47%
Draw21%
Willem II Tilburg win32%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 71%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 29%
- BTTS yes
- 70%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 88%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 50%
- BTTS no
- 30%
- Expected goals
- 2.04 – 1.65
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–18.6%
- 1–18.4%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–26.9%
- 3–15.8%
- 2–05.2%
- 1–05.1%
- 3–24.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | AFC Ajax | Willem II Tilburg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 10 |
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.30 |
| Goals per match | 2.73 | 0.90 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.36 | 3.20 |
| Home / away goals scored | 12 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 9 | 19 |
| Last 5 points | 11 | 1 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 11 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 20 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 0% |
AFC Ajax recent form
DWWWD
Willem II Tilburg recent form
LLLLD
Recent form
AFC Ajax
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 6 conceded
- Wat Fortuna Sittard5–1
- Lvs PSV1–3
- Wat Telstar 19634–0
- Dvs SC Heerenveen2–2
- Dat SC Heerenveen0–0
Willem II Tilburg
0W 2D 1L in the last 3 · 3 scored, 6 conceded
- Dat AZ1–1
- Lvs SBV Excelsior0–3
- Dvs SC Heerenveen2–2
Where to watch (UK)
Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Tue 15 Sept, 19:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 25 August 2026
Last updated: 15 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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FC Twente '65 vs Willem II Tilburg
Home
91%
Draw
6%
Away
3%
- Predicted score: 4–0Over 2.5: 86%BTTS: 54%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard
Home
41%
Draw
21%
Away
38%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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SBV Excelsior vs Telstar 1963
Home
18%
Draw
20%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.