Eredivisie · Matchweek 3

AFC Ajax vs Willem II Tilburg Prediction

Tue 15 Sept, 19:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Tue 15 Sept, 19:00 (BST)
Competition: Eredivisie
Round: Matchweek 3
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AFC Ajax win47%

Draw21%

Willem II Tilburg win32%

Predicted score: 2–1
Over 2.5 goals: 71%
Under 2.5 goals: 29%
BTTS yes: 70%

Over 1.5 goals: 88%
Over 3.5 goals: 50%
BTTS no: 30%
Expected goals: 2.04 – 1.65

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

2–18.6%
1–18.4%
2–27.1%
1–26.9%
3–15.8%
2–05.2%
1–05.1%
3–24.8%

Team comparison

Statistic	AFC Ajax	Willem II Tilburg
Matches played	6	5
Points per match	1.83	0.40
Goals per match	3.17	0.80
Goals conceded per match	1.50	2.40
Home / away goals scored	10	2
Home / away goals conceded	8	6
Last 5 points	10	2
Last 5 goals scored	17	4
Last 5 goals conceded	7	12
Win percentage	50%	0%

AFC Ajax recent form

WLWWD

Willem II Tilburg recent form

DLDLL

Recent form

AFC Ajax

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 6 conceded

Wat Fortuna Sittard5–1
Lvs PSV1–3
Wat Telstar 19634–0
Dvs SC Heerenveen2–2
Dat SC Heerenveen0–0

Willem II Tilburg

0W 2D 1L in the last 3 · 3 scored, 6 conceded

Dat AZ1–1
Lvs SBV Excelsior0–3
Dvs SC Heerenveen2–2

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Tue 15 Sept, 19:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.