Eredivisie · Matchweek 7

AFC Ajax vs SBV Excelsior Prediction

Sat 19 Sept, 19:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 19 Sept, 19:00 (BST)
Competition: Eredivisie
Round: Matchweek 7
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AFC Ajax win46%

Draw20%

SBV Excelsior win34%

Predicted score: 2–2
Over 2.5 goals: 81%
Under 2.5 goals: 19%
BTTS yes: 79%

Over 1.5 goals: 93%
Over 3.5 goals: 64%
BTTS no: 21%
Expected goals: 2.35 – 2.03

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour AFC Ajax, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model credits SBV Excelsior with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given AFC Ajax's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

2–27.1%
2–17.0%
1–26.1%
1–16.0%
3–25.6%
3–15.5%
2–34.8%
1–34.1%

Team comparison

Statistic	AFC Ajax	SBV Excelsior
Matches played	6	5
Points per match	1.83	1.60
Goals per match	3.17	2.00
Goals conceded per match	1.50	1.40
Home / away goals scored	10	7
Home / away goals conceded	8	4
Last 5 points	10	8
Last 5 goals scored	17	10
Last 5 goals conceded	7	7
Win percentage	50%	40%

AFC Ajax recent form

WLWWD

SBV Excelsior recent form

WWDLD

Recent form

AFC Ajax

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 17 scored, 7 conceded

Wvs Willem II Tilburg5–1
Wat Fortuna Sittard5–1
Lvs PSV1–3
Wat Telstar 19634–0
Dvs SC Heerenveen2–2

SBV Excelsior

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 7 conceded

Lvs FC Utrecht1–2
Dat NEC2–2
Wat Willem II Tilburg3–0
Wvs Sparta Rotterdam2–1
Wat Sparta Rotterdam3–2

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 19:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.