Eredivisie · Matchweek 8

AFC Ajax vs NEC Prediction

Sat 10 Oct, 20:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 10 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Competition: Eredivisie
Round: Matchweek 8
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AFC Ajax win61%

Draw17%

NEC win22%

Predicted score: 2–1
Over 2.5 goals: 81%
Under 2.5 goals: 19%
BTTS yes: 75%

Over 1.5 goals: 93%
Over 3.5 goals: 63%
BTTS no: 25%
Expected goals: 2.73 – 1.63

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour AFC Ajax, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour AFC Ajax, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

2–17.8%
3–17.1%
2–26.3%
3–25.8%
1–15.7%
4–14.8%
2–04.8%
1–24.6%

Team comparison

Statistic	AFC Ajax	NEC
Matches played	6	5
Points per match	1.83	1.00
Goals per match	3.17	1.40
Goals conceded per match	1.50	2.00
Home / away goals scored	10	3
Home / away goals conceded	8	4
Last 5 points	10	5
Last 5 goals scored	17	7
Last 5 goals conceded	7	10
Win percentage	50%	20%

AFC Ajax recent form

WLWWD

NEC recent form

WLDLD

Recent form

AFC Ajax

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 17 scored, 7 conceded

Dvs SBV Excelsior2–2
Wvs Willem II Tilburg5–1
Wat Fortuna Sittard5–1
Lvs PSV1–3
Wat Telstar 19634–0

NEC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 10 conceded

Dvs Go Ahead Eagles1–1
Lat SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden0–3
Dvs SBV Excelsior2–2
Lvs Feyenoord Rotterdam1–3
Wat PEC Zwolle3–1

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.