Eredivisie
NEC vs PSV
Home
16%
Draw
15%
Away
69%
- Predicted score: 1–3Over 2.5: 83%BTTS: 74%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie · Matchweek 13
AFC Ajax vs ADO Den Haag Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 22 Nov, 13:30 (GMT)
- Competition
- Eredivisie
- Round
- Matchweek 13
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
AFC Ajax win68%
Draw17%
ADO Den Haag win15%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 72%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 28%
- BTTS yes
- 63%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 89%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 51%
- BTTS no
- 37%
- Expected goals
- 2.57 – 1.16
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
AFC Ajax's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour AFC Ajax, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.2%
- 2–07.9%
- 3–17.9%
- 1–17.1%
- 3–06.8%
- 1–06.2%
- 2–25.3%
- 4–15.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | AFC Ajax | ADO Den Haag |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 11 |
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.82 |
| Goals per match | 2.73 | 1.45 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.36 | 2.09 |
| Home / away goals scored | 12 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 9 | 10 |
| Last 5 points | 11 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 11 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 18% |
AFC Ajax recent form
DWWWD
ADO Den Haag recent form
DWLLW
Recent form
AFC Ajax
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 6 conceded
- Dat FC Twente '652–2
- Wvs AZ1–0
- Wat Sparta Rotterdam2–1
- Wat FC Groningen5–2
- Dvs NEC1–1
ADO Den Haag
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 8 conceded
- Wvs Sparta Rotterdam3–1
- Lat PEC Zwolle0–1
- Lvs SC Heerenveen2–3
- Wvs PSV2–1
- Dat Telstar 19632–2
Where to watch (UK)
Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 22 Nov, 13:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 1 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 85%BTTS: 80%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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91%
Draw
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Away
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Draw
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Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.