Serie A · Matchweek 5

AC Monza vs US Sassuolo Calcio Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 18 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AC Monza win30%
Draw20%
US Sassuolo Calcio win50%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
76%
Under 2.5 goals
24%
BTTS yes
73%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
Over 3.5 goals
56%
BTTS no
27%
Expected goals
1.72 – 2.25

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–28.2%
  • 1–17.3%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 2–16.3%
  • 1–36.2%
  • 2–35.3%
  • 0–24.8%
  • 0–14.3%

Team comparison

StatisticAC MonzaUS Sassuolo Calcio
Matches played55
Points per match0.801.40
Goals per match1.601.80
Goals conceded per match2.401.80
Home / away goals scored44
Home / away goals conceded46
Last 5 points47
Last 5 goals scored89
Last 5 goals conceded129
Win percentage20%40%

AC Monza recent form

LLDLW

US Sassuolo Calcio recent form

LWDWL

Recent form

AC Monza

0W 1D 3L in the last 4 · 6 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat US Lecce2–3
  • Dat Parma Calcio 19131–1
  • Lvs Udinese Calcio2–3
  • Lat Inter Milan1–4

US Sassuolo Calcio

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 8 conceded

  • Wvs Juventus3–2
  • Dat Bologna FC 19092–2
  • Wvs Torino FC2–1
  • Lat Atalanta BC1–2
  • Lat Parma Calcio 19130–1

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Fri 18 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 28 August 2026
Last updated: 18 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.