Serie A
Parma Calcio 1913 vs AS Roma
Home
8%
Draw
14%
Away
78%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 5
AC Monza vs US Sassuolo Calcio Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 18 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
AC Monza win30%
Draw20%
US Sassuolo Calcio win50%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 76%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 24%
- BTTS yes
- 73%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 91%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 56%
- BTTS no
- 27%
- Expected goals
- 1.72 – 2.25
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–28.2%
- 1–17.3%
- 2–27.1%
- 2–16.3%
- 1–36.2%
- 2–35.3%
- 0–24.8%
- 0–14.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | AC Monza | US Sassuolo Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 11 |
| Points per match | 0.64 | 0.73 |
| Goals per match | 1.55 | 1.45 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.27 | 2.64 |
| Home / away goals scored | 9 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 9 | 15 |
| Last 5 points | 3 | 0 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 10 | 19 |
| Win percentage | 18% | 18% |
AC Monza recent form
WLLLL
US Sassuolo Calcio recent form
LLLLL
Recent form
AC Monza
0W 1D 3L in the last 4 · 6 scored, 11 conceded
- Lat US Lecce2–3
- Dat Parma Calcio 19131–1
- Lvs Udinese Calcio2–3
- Lat Inter Milan1–4
US Sassuolo Calcio
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 8 conceded
- Wvs Juventus3–2
- Dat Bologna FC 19092–2
- Wvs Torino FC2–1
- Lat Atalanta BC1–2
- Lat Parma Calcio 19130–1
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Fri 18 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 28 August 2026
Last updated: 18 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Serie A
Venezia FC vs Bologna FC 1909
Home
15%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
US Sassuolo Calcio vs SSC Napoli
Home
20%
Draw
18%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 69%
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Serie A
Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan
Home
16%
Draw
23%
Away
60%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 47%BTTS: 45%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.