Serie A
Parma Calcio 1913 vs AS Roma
Home
8%
Draw
14%
Away
78%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 12
AC Monza vs ACF Fiorentina Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Mon 23 Nov, 19:45 (GMT)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 12
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
AC Monza win41%
Draw20%
ACF Fiorentina win39%
- Predicted score
- 2–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 78%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 22%
- BTTS yes
- 76%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 92%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 59%
- BTTS no
- 24%
- Expected goals
- 2.09 – 2.05
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Away defensive numbers work against ACF Fiorentina, who have shipped goals above the Serie A average on the road. ACF Fiorentina's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–27.3%
- 2–17.1%
- 1–27.0%
- 1–16.8%
- 3–25.1%
- 2–35.0%
- 3–15.0%
- 1–34.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | AC Monza | ACF Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 11 |
| Points per match | 0.64 | 0.82 |
| Goals per match | 1.55 | 1.55 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.27 | 2.27 |
| Home / away goals scored | 9 | 10 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 9 | 12 |
| Last 5 points | 3 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 10 | 11 |
| Win percentage | 18% | 18% |
AC Monza recent form
WLLLL
ACF Fiorentina recent form
LLDWD
Recent form
AC Monza
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 10 conceded
- Lvs Atalanta BC0–1
- Lat Bologna FC 19091–2
- Lvs SSC Napoli1–4
- Lat Torino FC2–3
- Wvs Cagliari Calcio4–0
ACF Fiorentina
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 11 conceded
- Dvs Juventus2–2
- Wat US Sassuolo Calcio4–2
- Dvs Atalanta BC2–2
- Lat Inter Milan1–2
- Lvs Como 19071–3
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Mon 23 Nov, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 2 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Serie A
Venezia FC vs Bologna FC 1909
Home
15%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
US Sassuolo Calcio vs SSC Napoli
Home
20%
Draw
18%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 69%
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Serie A
Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan
Home
16%
Draw
23%
Away
60%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 47%BTTS: 45%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.