Serie A
Parma Calcio 1913 vs AS Roma
Home
8%
Draw
14%
Away
78%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 12
AC Milan vs Frosinone Calcio Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 22 Nov, 17:00 (GMT)
- Kick-off (local)
- Sun 22 Nov, 18:00 (CET)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 12
- Venue
- Milan, Italy
United Matchday prediction
AC Milan win56%
Draw18%
Frosinone Calcio win26%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 82%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 18%
- BTTS yes
- 78%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 94%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 65%
- BTTS no
- 22%
- Expected goals
- 2.63 – 1.81
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
AC Milan have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Frosinone Calcio's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–17.4%
- 2–26.7%
- 3–16.5%
- 3–25.9%
- 1–15.6%
- 1–25.1%
- 4–14.3%
- 2–04.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | AC Milan | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 11 |
| Points per match | 2.18 | 1.82 |
| Goals per match | 2.09 | 2.18 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.18 | 1.36 |
| Home / away goals scored | 13 | 8 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 9 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 12 | 15 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 64% | 55% |
AC Milan recent form
WWLWW
Frosinone Calcio recent form
WDWWL
Recent form
AC Milan
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 8 conceded
- Wat Genoa CFC2–1
- Wvs Inter Milan3–1
- Lvs Bologna FC 19092–4
- Wat Udinese Calcio2–0
- Wvs Atalanta BC3–2
Frosinone Calcio
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 15 scored, 8 conceded
- Lat Cagliari Calcio0–1
- Wvs Torino FC2–0
- Wvs US Lecce5–1
- Dat Atalanta BC4–4
- Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio4–2
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 22 Nov, 17:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 1 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Serie A
Venezia FC vs Bologna FC 1909
Home
15%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
US Sassuolo Calcio vs SSC Napoli
Home
20%
Draw
18%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 69%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan
Home
16%
Draw
23%
Away
60%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 47%BTTS: 45%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.