Championship · Matchweek 2

Wrexham AFC vs Watford FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 22 Aug, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 2
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Wrexham AFC win72%
Draw16%
Watford FC win12%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
67%
Under 2.5 goals
33%
BTTS yes
56%
Over 1.5 goals
86%
Over 3.5 goals
45%
BTTS no
44%
Expected goals
2.53 – 0.93

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates Wrexham AFC's home scoring output above the Championship average. Watford FC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–010.1%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 3–08.5%
  • 1–08.0%
  • 3–17.9%
  • 1–17.4%
  • 4–05.4%
  • 4–15.0%

Team comparison

StatisticWrexham AFCWatford FC
Matches played88
Points per match1.251.00
Goals per match1.130.88
Goals conceded per match1.501.25
Home / away goals scored51
Home / away goals conceded55
Last 5 points83
Last 5 goals scored63
Last 5 goals conceded87
Win percentage25%25%

Wrexham AFC recent form

WDDLW

Watford FC recent form

LLWLL

Recent form

Wrexham AFC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dat Cardiff City FC1–1
  • Dvs Middlesbrough FC2–2
  • Lat Coventry City FC1–3
  • Wat Oxford United FC1–0
  • Wvs Stoke City FC2–0

Watford FC

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 15 conceded

  • Wvs Southampton FC2–1
  • Lvs Coventry City FC0–4
  • Lat Middlesbrough FC1–5
  • Lat West Bromwich Albion FC0–3
  • Lvs Sheffield United FC0–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.