Championship · Matchweek 3

Wrexham AFC vs Birmingham City FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 28 Aug, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Wrexham AFC win45%
Draw25%
Birmingham City FC win31%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Under 2.5 goals
46%
BTTS yes
57%
Over 1.5 goals
78%
Over 3.5 goals
32%
BTTS no
43%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.27

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.6%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 1–27.3%
  • 0–17.3%
  • 2–07.2%
  • 2–25.8%
  • 0–05.8%

Team comparison

StatisticWrexham AFCBirmingham City FC
Matches played87
Points per match1.251.43
Goals per match1.131.71
Goals conceded per match1.501.57
Home / away goals scored55
Home / away goals conceded54
Last 5 points86
Last 5 goals scored68
Last 5 goals conceded88
Win percentage25%29%

Wrexham AFC recent form

WDDLW

Birmingham City FC recent form

DDLWD

Recent form

Wrexham AFC

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 7 conceded

  • Dvs Watford FC1–1
  • Dat Cardiff City FC1–1
  • Dvs Middlesbrough FC2–2
  • Lat Coventry City FC1–3
  • Wat Oxford United FC1–0

Birmingham City FC

2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dvs Bristol City FC2–2
  • Dat Portsmouth FC1–1
  • Wvs Bristol City FC2–1
  • Wvs Preston North End FC2–1
  • Dat Hull City AFC1–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 28 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.