Championship · Matchweek 12

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Watford FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 12
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win72%
Draw19%
Watford FC win9%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
BTTS yes
39%
Over 1.5 goals
74%
Over 3.5 goals
28%
BTTS no
61%
Expected goals
2.07 – 0.59

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates Wolverhampton Wanderers FC's home scoring output above the Championship average. The model credits Watford FC with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given Wolverhampton Wanderers FC's home defensive numbers. Recent results also favour Wolverhampton Wanderers FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–015.0%
  • 1–014.5%
  • 3–010.3%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–18.6%
  • 0–07.0%
  • 3–16.1%
  • 4–05.3%

Team comparison

StatisticWolverhampton Wanderers FCWatford FC
Matches played68
Points per match2.171.00
Goals per match2.170.88
Goals conceded per match1.331.25
Home / away goals scored51
Home / away goals conceded15
Last 5 points103
Last 5 goals scored103
Last 5 goals conceded77
Win percentage67%25%

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC recent form

WLDWW

Watford FC recent form

LLWLL

Recent form

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs West Bromwich Albion FC1–0
  • Wat Sheffield United FC1–0
  • Dat Birmingham City FC2–2
  • Lat West Ham United FC2–4
  • Wvs Stoke City FC4–1

Watford FC

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat Bristol City FC0–1
  • Lvs Stoke City FC1–2
  • Wvs Preston North End FC2–1
  • Lat West Bromwich Albion FC0–1
  • Lat Swansea City AFC0–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 3 October 2026
Last updated: 3 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
511
1X2 accuracy
47.0%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.7%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.