Championship · Matchweek 3

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Stoke City FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 29 Aug, 12:30 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win71%
Draw16%
Stoke City FC win13%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
71%
Under 2.5 goals
29%
BTTS yes
60%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Over 3.5 goals
50%
BTTS no
40%
Expected goals
2.60 – 1.05

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates Wolverhampton Wanderers FC's home scoring output above the Championship average. Away defensive numbers work against Stoke City FC, who have shipped goals above the Championship average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Wolverhampton Wanderers FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.2%
  • 2–08.8%
  • 3–18.0%
  • 3–07.6%
  • 1–17.1%
  • 1–06.7%
  • 4–15.2%
  • 4–04.9%

Team comparison

StatisticWolverhampton Wanderers FCStoke City FC
Matches played67
Points per match2.171.86
Goals per match2.171.71
Goals conceded per match1.331.43
Home / away goals scored55
Home / away goals conceded19
Last 5 points1013
Last 5 goals scored1010
Last 5 goals conceded73
Win percentage67%57%

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC recent form

WLDWW

Stoke City FC recent form

WWDWW

Recent form

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wat Preston North End FC3–1
  • Dat Burnley FC1–1
  • Dvs Fulham FC1–1
  • Lat Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–3
  • Dvs Sunderland AFC1–1

Stoke City FC

0W 0D 5L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 13 conceded

  • Lat Southampton FC1–3
  • Lat Bristol City FC0–2
  • Lvs Portsmouth FC1–3
  • Lvs Millwall FC1–3
  • Lat Wrexham AFC0–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 29 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.