Eredivisie · Matchweek 4

Willem II Tilburg vs SC Heerenveen Prediction

United Matchday prediction

Willem II Tilburg win43%
Draw24%
SC Heerenveen win33%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Under 2.5 goals
42%
BTTS yes
61%
Over 1.5 goals
81%
Over 3.5 goals
36%
BTTS no
39%
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.41

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits SC Heerenveen with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.0%
  • 218.9%
  • 107.8%
  • 127.8%
  • 016.8%
  • 206.3%
  • 226.3%
  • 314.8%

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.