Eredivisie · Matchweek 5

Willem II Tilburg vs SBV Excelsior Prediction

Sat 5 Sept, 20:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 5 Sept, 20:00 (BST)
Competition: Eredivisie
Round: Matchweek 5
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Willem II Tilburg win26%

Draw18%

SBV Excelsior win56%

Predicted score: 1–2
Over 2.5 goals: 84%
Under 2.5 goals: 16%
BTTS yes: 80%

Over 1.5 goals: 95%
Over 3.5 goals: 68%
BTTS no: 20%
Expected goals: 1.89 – 2.76

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. SBV Excelsior arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–26.9%
2–26.5%
1–36.3%
2–36.0%
1–15.0%
2–14.7%
1–44.4%
2–44.1%

Team comparison

Statistic	Willem II Tilburg	SBV Excelsior
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	0.40	1.60
Goals per match	0.80	2.00
Goals conceded per match	2.40	1.40
Home / away goals scored	2	7
Home / away goals conceded	6	4
Last 5 points	2	8
Last 5 goals scored	4	10
Last 5 goals conceded	12	7
Win percentage	0%	40%

Willem II Tilburg recent form

DLDLL

SBV Excelsior recent form

WWDLD

Recent form

Willem II Tilburg

0W 1D 0L in the last 1 · 2 scored, 2 conceded

Dvs SC Heerenveen2–2

SBV Excelsior

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 6 conceded

Wvs Sparta Rotterdam2–1
Wat Sparta Rotterdam3–2
Dvs FC Volendam1–1
Wat FC Groningen3–2
Wvs FC Utrecht5–0

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 5 Sept, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.