Championship · Matchweek 12

West Ham United FC vs Southampton FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 12
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

West Ham United FC win65%
Draw17%
Southampton FC win18%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
78%
Under 2.5 goals
22%
BTTS yes
70%
Over 1.5 goals
92%
Over 3.5 goals
59%
BTTS no
30%
Expected goals
2.71 – 1.40

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

West Ham United FC have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour West Ham United FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–18.5%
  • 3–17.6%
  • 1–16.2%
  • 2–06.0%
  • 2–25.9%
  • 3–05.5%
  • 3–25.3%
  • 4–15.2%

Team comparison

StatisticWest Ham United FCSouthampton FC
Matches played88
Points per match1.881.75
Goals per match2.752.38
Goals conceded per match1.381.25
Home / away goals scored144
Home / away goals conceded46
Last 5 points138
Last 5 goals scored1810
Last 5 goals conceded66
Win percentage50%50%

West Ham United FC recent form

WWWWD

Southampton FC recent form

DDWWL

Recent form

West Ham United FC

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 18 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dat Millwall FC2–2
  • Wvs Wrexham AFC6–0
  • Wat Bolton Wanderers FC3–2
  • Wvs Derby County FC3–0
  • Wvs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC4–2

Southampton FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 6 conceded

  • Lat Wrexham AFC1–2
  • Wvs Bristol City FC4–1
  • Wvs Swansea City AFC3–1
  • Dat Lincoln City FC1–1
  • Dat Birmingham City FC1–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 3 October 2026
Last updated: 3 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
511
1X2 accuracy
47.0%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.7%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.