Championship
West Ham United FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
67%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 57%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 5
West Ham United FC vs Derby County FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 5 Sept, 15:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
West Ham United FC win36%
Draw23%
Derby County FC win41%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 35%
- BTTS yes
- 66%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 85%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 43%
- BTTS no
- 34%
- Expected goals
- 1.60 – 1.73
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
West Ham United FC have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Derby County FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–17.9%
- 2–26.9%
- 0–16.2%
- 1–05.7%
- 0–25.3%
- 1–34.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | West Ham United FC | Derby County FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 8 | 7 |
| Points per match | 1.88 | 0.71 |
| Goals per match | 2.75 | 0.86 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.38 | 1.71 |
| Home / away goals scored | 14 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 13 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 18 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 14% |
West Ham United FC recent form
WWWWD
Derby County FC recent form
WLLLD
Recent form
West Ham United FC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 7 conceded
- Wvs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC4–2
- Dat Watford FC1–1
- Lvs Charlton Athletic FC1–2
- Dat Burnley FC2–2
- Wvs Leeds United FC3–0
Derby County FC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 9 conceded
- Wat Portsmouth FC2–0
- Lvs Swansea City AFC0–3
- Dvs Cardiff City FC2–2
- Lvs Sheffield United FC1–2
- Wat Queens Park Rangers FC3–2
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 5 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC
Home
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Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 63%
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Birmingham City FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
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Draw
23%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.