Championship
West Ham United FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
67%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 57%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 1
Watford FC vs Southampton FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 16 Aug, 13:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 1
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Watford FC win7%
Draw12%
Southampton FC win80%
- Predicted score
- 0–3
- Over 2.5 goals
- 74%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 26%
- BTTS yes
- 54%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 90%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 53%
- BTTS no
- 46%
- Expected goals
- 0.85 – 3.00
High confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Watford FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline. Southampton FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Southampton FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–39.6%
- 0–29.6%
- 1–38.2%
- 1–28.2%
- 0–47.2%
- 0–16.4%
- 1–46.1%
- 1–15.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Watford FC | Southampton FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 8 | 8 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Goals per match | 0.88 | 2.38 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 3 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 3 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 25% | 50% |
Watford FC recent form
LLWLL
Southampton FC recent form
DDWWL
Recent form
Watford FC
0W 0D 5L in the last 5 · 1 scored, 16 conceded
- Lvs Coventry City FC0–4
- Lat Middlesbrough FC1–5
- Lat West Bromwich Albion FC0–3
- Lvs Sheffield United FC0–2
- Lat Oxford United FC0–2
Southampton FC
2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 6 conceded
- Wvs Middlesbrough FC2–1
- Dat Middlesbrough FC0–0
- Wat Preston North End FC3–1
- Dvs Ipswich Town FC2–2
- Dvs Bristol City FC2–2
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
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Swansea City AFC vs Norwich City FC
Home
60%
Draw
21%
Away
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- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC
Home
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Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 63%
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Championship
Birmingham City FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
52%
Draw
23%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.