Primeira Liga
Sporting Clube de Braga vs Sporting Clube de Portugal
Home
29%
Draw
28%
Away
43%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 3
Vitória SC vs CD Nacional Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 23 Aug, 15:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Vitória SC win34%
Draw21%
CD Nacional win45%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 76%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 24%
- BTTS yes
- 74%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 91%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 56%
- BTTS no
- 26%
- Expected goals
- 1.84 – 2.13
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. CD Nacional arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–27.9%
- 1–17.4%
- 2–27.3%
- 2–16.8%
- 1–35.6%
- 2–35.1%
- 3–24.4%
- 0–24.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Vitória SC | CD Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 7 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.57 |
| Goals per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.80 | 2.14 |
| Home / away goals scored | 2 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 1 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 0 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 3 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 4 | 13 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 14% |
Vitória SC recent form
WLDLD
CD Nacional recent form
LLLLL
Recent form
Vitória SC
No recent completed fixtures on record.
CD Nacional
1W 1D 0L in the last 2 · 4 scored, 2 conceded
- Wvs GD Estoril Praia2–0
- Dat CD Santa Clara2–2
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 23 Aug, 15:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 23 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
49%
Draw
20%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 74%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.