Primera Division
Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga CF
Home
61%
Draw
24%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 43%BTTS: 42%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 12
Valencia CF vs Real Madrid Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 8 Nov, 00:00 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 12
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Valencia CF win13%
Draw18%
Real Madrid win69%
- Predicted score
- 0–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 40%
- BTTS yes
- 52%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 82%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 38%
- BTTS no
- 48%
- Expected goals
- 0.86 – 2.26
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Valencia CF have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Real Madrid have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Real Madrid's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–211.3%
- 0–110.0%
- 1–29.7%
- 1–18.6%
- 0–38.5%
- 1–37.3%
- 0–44.8%
- 0–04.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Valencia CF | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 9 |
| Points per match | 0.67 | 2.33 |
| Goals per match | 0.67 | 2.56 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 2 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 9 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 13 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 11% | 78% |
Valencia CF recent form
LWLDD
Real Madrid recent form
WWLWW
Recent form
Valencia CF
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 6 conceded
- Dvs Athletic Club0–0
- Dat Real Racing Club de Santander2–2
- Lvs Real Sociedad de Fútbol2–3
- Wat Deportivo Alavés1–0
- Lat Sevilla FC0–1
Real Madrid
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 8 conceded
- Wvs Sevilla FC4–1
- Wat AS Roma4–3
- Wvs Villarreal CF1–0
- Lat Atlético Madrid1–2
- Wat Elche CF3–2
Team news
Real Madrid
- Jose Mourinho just showed Man United what they are missing after £21m transfer masterstroke
- Endrick sends new Real Madrid message after Man United link and Jose Mourinho claim
- Manchester United have spent £50m on a 'wild' signing they probably didn't need
- VAR leaves Man United with a 10-man squad against Atletico Madrid
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 17 October 2026
Last updated: 20 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 719
- 1X2 accuracy
- 47.8%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.4%
- Exact score
- 10.7%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Real Racing Club de Santander vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
37%
Draw
23%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 63%BTTS: 64%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Athletic Club vs Getafe CF
Home
58%
Draw
27%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 32%BTTS: 33%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
RC Celta de Vigo vs Real Betis Balompié
Home
47%
Draw
23%
Away
30%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 63%BTTS: 63%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.