Ligue 1 · Matchweek 10

Toulouse FC vs RC Strasbourg Alsace Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 6 Nov, 19:45 (GMT+0)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 10
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Toulouse FC win39%
Draw21%
RC Strasbourg Alsace win39%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
73%
Under 2.5 goals
27%
BTTS yes
72%
Over 1.5 goals
89%
Over 3.5 goals
52%
BTTS no
28%
Expected goals
1.88 – 1.89

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Toulouse FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Ligue 1 baseline. RC Strasbourg Alsace have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. RC Strasbourg Alsace carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–18.2%
  • 1–27.7%
  • 2–17.7%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 1–34.9%
  • 3–14.8%
  • 2–34.6%
  • 3–24.6%

Team comparison

StatisticToulouse FCRC Strasbourg Alsace
Matches played76
Points per match1.291.17
Goals per match1.711.83
Goals conceded per match1.572.00
Home / away goals scored38
Home / away goals conceded510
Last 5 points87
Last 5 goals scored1011
Last 5 goals conceded78
Win percentage29%33%

Toulouse FC recent form

LDWDW

RC Strasbourg Alsace recent form

WWDLL

Recent form

Toulouse FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wat Le Mans FC3–0
  • Dat AS Monaco FC2–2
  • Wvs Le Havre AC3–2
  • Dat FC Lorient2–2
  • Lvs Lille OSC0–1

RC Strasbourg Alsace

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lat OGC Nice1–2
  • Lat Paris FC1–2
  • Dvs AS Monaco FC1–1
  • Wat ES Troyes AC6–2
  • Wvs Racing Club de Lens2–1

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 16 October 2026
Last updated: 16 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
645
1X2 accuracy
47.1%
BTTS accuracy
56.4%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.9%
Exact score
10.7%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.