Ligue 1
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs Lille OSC
Home
38%
Draw
24%
Away
38%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 59%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 8
Toulouse FC vs ES Troyes AC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 25 Oct, 16:15 (GMT)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 8
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Toulouse FC win60%
Draw22%
ES Troyes AC win18%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 47%
- BTTS yes
- 51%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 77%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 31%
- BTTS no
- 49%
- Expected goals
- 1.87 – 0.92
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Toulouse FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Ligue 1 baseline. ES Troyes AC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.5%
- 2–010.8%
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.9%
- 3–06.7%
- 3–16.2%
- 0–06.1%
- 0–15.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Toulouse FC | ES Troyes AC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 7 |
| Points per match | 1.29 | 0.57 |
| Goals per match | 1.71 | 0.71 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.57 | 2.29 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 0 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 15 |
| Win percentage | 29% | 14% |
Toulouse FC recent form
LDWDW
ES Troyes AC recent form
LLLLL
Recent form
Toulouse FC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 7 conceded
- Wat Le Mans FC3–0
- Dat AS Monaco FC2–2
- Wvs Le Havre AC3–2
- Dat FC Lorient2–2
- Lvs Lille OSC0–1
ES Troyes AC
0W 0D 5L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 15 conceded
- Lvs Racing Club de Lens1–3
- Lvs Olympique de Marseille0–2
- Lat Angers SCO0–2
- Lat Lille OSC0–2
- Lvs RC Strasbourg Alsace2–6
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 3 October 2026
Last updated: 21 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 729
- 1X2 accuracy
- 47.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 56.2%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Olympique de Marseille
Home
46%
Draw
22%
Away
32%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 67%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.