Premier League
Manchester United FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC
Home
69%
Draw
20%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 52%BTTS: 44%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 4
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Everton FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 12 Sept, 17:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, England
United Matchday prediction
Tottenham Hotspur FC win22%
Draw26%
Everton FC win52%
- Predicted score
- 0–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 57%
- BTTS yes
- 46%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 69%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 22%
- BTTS no
- 54%
- Expected goals
- 0.89 – 1.52
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Tottenham Hotspur FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Everton FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.6%
- 1–112.1%
- 0–210.4%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–09.0%
- 1–08.0%
- 2–15.4%
- 0–35.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Tottenham Hotspur FC | Everton FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Home / away goals scored | 2 | 1 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 1 |
| Last 5 points | 2 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 2 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 0% | 40% |
Tottenham Hotspur FC recent form
LLDDL
Everton FC recent form
WDDDW
Recent form
Tottenham Hotspur FC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 2 scored, 7 conceded
- Dat Nottingham Forest FC0–0
- Lvs Newcastle United FC0–2
- Lat Brentford FC0–3
- Wvs Everton FC1–0
- Lat Chelsea FC1–2
Everton FC
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 7 conceded
- Dvs Manchester United FC2–2
- Dat AFC Bournemouth1–1
- Wvs Crystal Palace FC2–0
- Lat Tottenham Hotspur FC0–1
- Lvs Sunderland AFC1–3
Team news
Tottenham Hotspur FC
- Football gossip: Tottenham Hotspur eye £125m move for Morgan Gibbs-White
- League One: Tottenham loan signing Irow scores SCREAMER for Plymouth straight from kick-off!
- Tottenham Hotspur: Richarlison left out of Spurs squad - could he become 'real problem' for the Roberto De Zer
- Richarlison could still leave Tottenham as Trabzonspor weigh up bid for striker
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
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Coventry City FC vs Newcastle United FC
Home
16%
Draw
20%
Away
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- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 55%
Low confidenceFull prediction
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Leeds United FC vs Manchester United FC
Home
53%
Draw
24%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 50%BTTS: 51%
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Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Crystal Palace FC
Home
75%
Draw
15%
Away
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- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 67%BTTS: 52%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.