Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 4
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Everton FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 12 Sept, 17:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, England
United Matchday prediction
Tottenham Hotspur FC win22%
Draw26%
Everton FC win52%
- Predicted score
- 0–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 57%
- BTTS yes
- 46%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 69%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 22%
- BTTS no
- 54%
- Expected goals
- 0.89 – 1.52
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Tottenham Hotspur FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Everton FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.6%
- 1–112.1%
- 0–210.4%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–09.0%
- 1–08.0%
- 2–15.4%
- 0–35.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Tottenham Hotspur FC | Everton FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 10 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 30% | 40% |
Tottenham Hotspur FC recent form
DWWWL
Everton FC recent form
DLLWW
Recent form
Tottenham Hotspur FC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 2 scored, 7 conceded
- Dat Nottingham Forest FC0–0
- Lvs Newcastle United FC0–2
- Lat Brentford FC0–3
- Wvs Everton FC1–0
- Lat Chelsea FC1–2
Everton FC
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 7 conceded
- Dvs Manchester United FC2–2
- Dat AFC Bournemouth1–1
- Wvs Crystal Palace FC2–0
- Lat Tottenham Hotspur FC0–1
- Lvs Sunderland AFC1–3
Team news
Tottenham Hotspur FC
- Xavi Simons reveals emotional toll of Spurs ACL injury as return nears
- Transfer Talk: Should Spurs have signed another striker this season?
- Football gossip: Tottenham Hotspur eye £125m move for Morgan Gibbs-White
- League One: Tottenham loan signing Irow scores SCREAMER for Plymouth straight from kick-off!
Everton FC
- Everton 3-1 Coventry: Thierno Barry gets two goals and an assist in comeback win as Coventry see three VAR inc
- Barry leads Everton comeback win vs Coventry - who suffer triple VAR woe
- Everton: David Moyes tight-lipped over Jack Grealish’s absence from Everton squad
- Everton forced to move EFL Cup tie at short notice
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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Draw
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Draw
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.