Premier League · Matchweek 7

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Coventry City FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Mon 19 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, England

United Matchday prediction

Tottenham Hotspur FC win39%
Draw31%
Coventry City FC win30%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
31%
Under 2.5 goals
69%
BTTS yes
38%
Over 1.5 goals
58%
Over 3.5 goals
13%
BTTS no
62%
Expected goals
1.07 – 0.88

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Tottenham Hotspur FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. The model expects a lower-scoring game than the competition average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–015.2%
  • 0–014.3%
  • 1–113.4%
  • 0–112.6%
  • 2–08.1%
  • 2–17.1%
  • 1–25.9%
  • 0–25.6%

Team comparison

StatisticTottenham Hotspur FCCoventry City FC
Matches played55
Points per match0.400.60
Goals per match0.400.20
Goals conceded per match1.602.00
Home / away goals scored21
Home / away goals conceded54
Last 5 points23
Last 5 goals scored21
Last 5 goals conceded810
Win percentage0%20%

Tottenham Hotspur FC recent form

LLDDL

Coventry City FC recent form

LLLLW

Recent form

Tottenham Hotspur FC

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 2 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lvs Aston Villa FC2–3
  • Dvs Everton FC0–0
  • Dat Nottingham Forest FC0–0
  • Lvs Newcastle United FC0–2
  • Lat Brentford FC0–3

Coventry City FC

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 1 scored, 10 conceded

  • Wat Nottingham Forest FC1–0
  • Lvs Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–5
  • Lat Manchester City FC0–1
  • Lvs Hull City AFC0–1
  • Lat Arsenal FC0–3

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 28 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.