Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 7
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Coventry City FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Mon 19 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, England
United Matchday prediction
Tottenham Hotspur FC win35%
Draw30%
Coventry City FC win34%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 34%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 66%
- BTTS yes
- 42%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 61%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 16%
- BTTS no
- 58%
- Expected goals
- 1.04 – 1.03
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Tottenham Hotspur FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. The model expects a lower-scoring game than the competition average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.5%
- 1–013.2%
- 0–113.0%
- 0–012.6%
- 2–17.0%
- 1–26.9%
- 2–06.9%
- 0–26.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Tottenham Hotspur FC | Coventry City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.10 | 1.90 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 10 |
| Last 5 points | 10 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 9 |
| Win percentage | 30% | 30% |
Tottenham Hotspur FC recent form
DWWWL
Coventry City FC recent form
WLLWL
Recent form
Tottenham Hotspur FC
0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 6 conceded
- Dat Manchester United FC1–1
- Lvs Aston Villa FC2–3
- Dvs Everton FC0–0
- Dat Nottingham Forest FC0–0
- Lvs Newcastle United FC0–2
Coventry City FC
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 8 conceded
- Wvs Newcastle United FC4–1
- Wat Nottingham Forest FC1–0
- Lvs Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–5
- Lat Manchester City FC0–1
- Lvs Hull City AFC0–1
Team news
Tottenham Hotspur FC
- Xavi Simons reveals emotional toll of Spurs ACL injury as return nears
- Transfer Talk: Should Spurs have signed another striker this season?
- Football gossip: Tottenham Hotspur eye £125m move for Morgan Gibbs-White
- League One: Tottenham loan signing Irow scores SCREAMER for Plymouth straight from kick-off!
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 28 September 2026
Last updated: 19 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Premier League
Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Home
20%
Draw
22%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 57%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Brentford FC vs Everton FC
Home
51%
Draw
27%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 43%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Coventry City FC vs Ipswich Town FC
Home
40%
Draw
21%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 74%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.