Premier League
Manchester United FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC
Home
69%
Draw
20%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 52%BTTS: 44%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 5
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Aston Villa FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 19 Sept, 12:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, England
United Matchday prediction
Tottenham Hotspur FC win38%
Draw34%
Aston Villa FC win27%
- Predicted score
- 0–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 24%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 76%
- BTTS yes
- 32%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 50%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 9%
- BTTS no
- 68%
- Expected goals
- 0.94 – 0.74
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Tottenham Hotspur FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. The model expects a lower-scoring game than the competition average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–018.7%
- 1–017.5%
- 0–113.8%
- 1–113.0%
- 2–08.2%
- 2–16.1%
- 0–25.1%
- 1–24.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Tottenham Hotspur FC | Aston Villa FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Home / away goals scored | 2 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 2 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 2 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 9 |
| Win percentage | 0% | 20% |
Tottenham Hotspur FC recent form
LLDDL
Aston Villa FC recent form
LLDLW
Recent form
Tottenham Hotspur FC
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 1 scored, 5 conceded
- Dvs Everton FC0–0
- Dat Nottingham Forest FC0–0
- Lvs Newcastle United FC0–2
- Lat Brentford FC0–3
- Wvs Everton FC1–0
Aston Villa FC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 9 conceded
- Lvs Nottingham Forest FC1–2
- Wat Club Brugge KV3–2
- Dat Hull City AFC0–0
- Lvs Arsenal FC0–1
- Lat Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–4
Team news
Tottenham Hotspur FC
- Football gossip: Tottenham Hotspur eye £125m move for Morgan Gibbs-White
- League One: Tottenham loan signing Irow scores SCREAMER for Plymouth straight from kick-off!
- Tottenham Hotspur: Richarlison left out of Spurs squad - could he become 'real problem' for the Roberto De Zer
- Richarlison could still leave Tottenham as Trabzonspor weigh up bid for striker
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 12:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Premier League
Coventry City FC vs Newcastle United FC
Home
16%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 55%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Leeds United FC vs Manchester United FC
Home
53%
Draw
24%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 50%BTTS: 51%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Crystal Palace FC
Home
75%
Draw
15%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 67%BTTS: 52%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.