Championship
West Ham United FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
67%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 57%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 5
Swansea City AFC vs Wrexham AFC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 5 Sept, 20:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Swansea City AFC win46%
Draw27%
Wrexham AFC win26%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 58%
- BTTS yes
- 46%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 68%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 21%
- BTTS no
- 54%
- Expected goals
- 1.38 – 0.97
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model credits Wrexham AFC with an above-average away defensive record. Wrexham AFC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. Recent results also favour Swansea City AFC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.2%
- 1–112.8%
- 0–09.6%
- 0–19.2%
- 2–09.1%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–26.2%
- 0–24.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Swansea City AFC | Wrexham AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 8 |
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Goals per match | 1.57 | 1.13 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.71 | 1.50 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 1 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 10 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 57% | 25% |
Swansea City AFC recent form
WDLWW
Wrexham AFC recent form
WDDLW
Recent form
Swansea City AFC
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 2 conceded
- Wvs Watford FC2–0
- Wat Derby County FC3–0
- Dvs Sheffield United FC0–0
- Wvs Charlton Athletic FC3–1
- Dat Norwich City FC1–1
Wrexham AFC
1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 6 conceded
- Wat Millwall FC3–0
- Lvs Birmingham City FC1–2
- Dvs Watford FC1–1
- Dat Cardiff City FC1–1
- Dvs Middlesbrough FC2–2
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 5 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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Draw
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Away
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Draw
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Away
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Draw
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Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.