Championship
West Ham United FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
67%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 57%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 4
Swansea City AFC vs Watford FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Tue 1 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Swansea City AFC win50%
Draw26%
Watford FC win23%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 56%
- BTTS yes
- 47%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 70%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 23%
- BTTS no
- 53%
- Expected goals
- 1.50 – 0.94
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Swansea City AFC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline. The model credits Watford FC with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given Swansea City AFC's home defensive numbers. Recent results also favour Swansea City AFC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.1%
- 1–112.3%
- 2–09.9%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–08.7%
- 0–18.2%
- 1–25.7%
- 3–04.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Swansea City AFC | Watford FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 8 |
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.57 | 0.88 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.71 | 1.25 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 1 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 1 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 10 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 57% | 25% |
Swansea City AFC recent form
WDLWW
Watford FC recent form
LLWLL
Recent form
Swansea City AFC
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 3 conceded
- Wat Derby County FC3–0
- Dvs Sheffield United FC0–0
- Wvs Charlton Athletic FC3–1
- Dat Norwich City FC1–1
- Wat Queens Park Rangers FC2–1
Watford FC
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 12 conceded
- Dvs West Ham United FC1–1
- Dat Wrexham AFC1–1
- Wvs Southampton FC2–1
- Lvs Coventry City FC0–4
- Lat Middlesbrough FC1–5
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 1 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
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Swansea City AFC vs Norwich City FC
Home
60%
Draw
21%
Away
18%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC
Home
74%
Draw
14%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 63%
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Championship
Birmingham City FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
52%
Draw
23%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.