Premier League · Matchweek 10

Sunderland AFC vs Chelsea FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 (GMT+0)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 10
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Sunderland AFC win22%
Draw23%
Chelsea FC win55%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Under 2.5 goals
46%
BTTS yes
54%
Over 1.5 goals
78%
Over 3.5 goals
32%
BTTS no
46%
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.79

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Sunderland AFC's home attacking output as weaker than the Premier League baseline. Chelsea FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.0%
  • 0–110.5%
  • 1–29.8%
  • 0–29.4%
  • 1–06.1%
  • 1–35.9%
  • 0–05.9%
  • 2–15.8%

Team comparison

StatisticSunderland AFCChelsea FC
Matches played77
Points per match0.571.86
Goals per match0.862.43
Goals conceded per match2.001.86
Home / away goals scored16
Home / away goals conceded47
Last 5 points17
Last 5 goals scored410
Last 5 goals conceded128
Win percentage14%57%

Sunderland AFC recent form

DLLLL

Chelsea FC recent form

LDLWW

Recent form

Sunderland AFC

0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 12 conceded

  • Lat AFC Bournemouth0–2
  • Lvs Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–2
  • Lat Manchester City FC3–5
  • Lvs Arsenal FC0–2
  • Dat Brentford FC1–1

Chelsea FC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 8 conceded

  • Wat Everton FC2–0
  • Wvs AFC Bournemouth5–1
  • Lat Brentford FC0–3
  • Dvs Hull City AFC2–2
  • Lat Arsenal FC1–2

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 18 October 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
694
1X2 accuracy
47.6%
BTTS accuracy
55.6%
Over 2.5 accuracy
57.8%
Exact score
10.4%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.