Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 6
Sunderland AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Sunderland AFC win16%
Draw17%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC win67%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 74%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 26%
- BTTS yes
- 66%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 90%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 53%
- BTTS no
- 34%
- Expected goals
- 1.23 – 2.61
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Sunderland AFC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Brighton & Hove Albion FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Brighton & Hove Albion FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.0%
- 1–37.8%
- 0–27.3%
- 1–16.9%
- 0–36.4%
- 0–15.6%
- 2–25.6%
- 1–45.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Sunderland AFC | Brighton & Hove Albion FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals per match | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.70 | 0.70 |
| Home / away goals scored | 2 | 11 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 2 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 2 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 70% |
Sunderland AFC recent form
LLDLW
Brighton & Hove Albion FC recent form
WWLWW
Recent form
Sunderland AFC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 10 conceded
- Lat Manchester City FC3–5
- Lvs Arsenal FC0–2
- Dat Brentford FC1–1
- Wvs Fulham FC1–0
- Lat Ipswich Town FC1–2
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 16 scored, 5 conceded
- Wvs Arsenal FC3–0
- Wat Coventry City FC5–0
- Dvs Leeds United FC1–1
- Lat Chelsea FC3–4
- Wvs Aston Villa FC4–0
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Premier League
Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Home
20%
Draw
22%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 57%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Brentford FC vs Everton FC
Home
51%
Draw
27%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 43%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Coventry City FC vs Ipswich Town FC
Home
40%
Draw
21%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 74%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.