Premier League · Matchweek 6

Sunderland AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC Prediction

Sat 10 Oct, 15:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 (BST)
Competition: Premier League
Round: Matchweek 6
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Sunderland AFC win16%

Draw17%

Brighton & Hove Albion FC win67%

Predicted score: 1–2
Over 2.5 goals: 74%
Under 2.5 goals: 26%
BTTS yes: 66%

Over 1.5 goals: 90%
Over 3.5 goals: 53%
BTTS no: 34%
Expected goals: 1.23 – 2.61

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Sunderland AFC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Brighton & Hove Albion FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Brighton & Hove Albion FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

1–29.0%
1–37.8%
0–27.3%
1–16.9%
0–36.4%
0–15.6%
2–25.6%
1–45.1%

Team comparison

Statistic	Sunderland AFC	Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	0.80	2.00
Goals per match	1.20	3.20
Goals conceded per match	2.00	1.00
Home / away goals scored	1	8
Home / away goals conceded	2	4
Last 5 points	4	10
Last 5 goals scored	6	16
Last 5 goals conceded	10	5
Win percentage	20%	60%

Sunderland AFC recent form

LWDLL

Brighton & Hove Albion FC recent form

WLDWW

Recent form

Sunderland AFC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 10 conceded

Lat Manchester City FC3–5
Lvs Arsenal FC0–2
Dat Brentford FC1–1
Wvs Fulham FC1–0
Lat Ipswich Town FC1–2

Brighton & Hove Albion FC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 16 scored, 5 conceded

Wvs Arsenal FC3–0
Wat Coventry City FC5–0
Dvs Leeds United FC1–1
Lat Chelsea FC3–4
Wvs Aston Villa FC4–0

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.