Championship
West Ham United FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
67%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 57%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 1
Stoke City FC vs Swansea City AFC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 15 Aug, 15:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 1
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Stoke City FC win26%
Draw24%
Swansea City AFC win50%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 45%
- BTTS yes
- 56%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 78%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 33%
- BTTS no
- 44%
- Expected goals
- 1.17 – 1.71
High confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Swansea City AFC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 0–19.6%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–28.2%
- 1–06.6%
- 2–16.6%
- 0–05.6%
- 2–25.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Stoke City FC | Swansea City AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 7 |
| Points per match | 1.86 | 2.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.71 | 1.57 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.43 | 0.71 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 1 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 13 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 57% | 57% |
Stoke City FC recent form
WWDWW
Swansea City AFC recent form
WDLWW
Recent form
Stoke City FC
0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 11 conceded
- Lat Bristol City FC0–2
- Lvs Portsmouth FC1–3
- Lvs Millwall FC1–3
- Lat Wrexham AFC0–2
- Dvs Blackburn Rovers FC1–1
Swansea City AFC
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 5 conceded
- Wvs Charlton Athletic FC3–1
- Dat Norwich City FC1–1
- Wat Queens Park Rangers FC2–1
- Lvs Southampton FC1–2
- Wat Leicester City FC1–0
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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Draw
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Away
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Draw
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Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.