Championship
West Ham United FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
67%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 57%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 4
Stoke City FC vs Norwich City FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Tue 1 Sept, 20:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Stoke City FC win33%
Draw23%
Norwich City FC win44%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 35%
- BTTS yes
- 66%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 85%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 44%
- BTTS no
- 34%
- Expected goals
- 1.56 – 1.81
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Stoke City FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.7%
- 1–28.8%
- 2–17.6%
- 2–26.9%
- 0–16.2%
- 0–25.7%
- 1–05.4%
- 1–35.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Stoke City FC | Norwich City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 7 |
| Points per match | 1.86 | 1.29 |
| Goals per match | 1.71 | 2.14 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.43 | 2.14 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 1 | 9 |
| Last 5 points | 13 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 11 |
| Win percentage | 57% | 43% |
Stoke City FC recent form
WWDWW
Norwich City FC recent form
LWWLL
Recent form
Stoke City FC
0W 0D 5L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 15 conceded
- Lat Wolverhampton Wanderers FC1–4
- Lat Southampton FC1–3
- Lat Bristol City FC0–2
- Lvs Portsmouth FC1–3
- Lvs Millwall FC1–3
Norwich City FC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 8 conceded
- Wvs Burnley FC4–1
- Lat Millwall FC0–3
- Lat Hull City AFC1–2
- Dvs Swansea City AFC1–1
- Wvs Derby County FC2–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 1 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Championship
Swansea City AFC vs Norwich City FC
Home
60%
Draw
21%
Away
18%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC
Home
74%
Draw
14%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 63%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Birmingham City FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
52%
Draw
23%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.