Championship
West Ham United FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
67%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 57%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 5
Stoke City FC vs Charlton Athletic FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 5 Sept, 12:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Stoke City FC win34%
Draw26%
Charlton Athletic FC win40%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 52%
- BTTS yes
- 53%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 73%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 26%
- BTTS no
- 47%
- Expected goals
- 1.24 – 1.35
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Stoke City FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline. The model credits Charlton Athletic FC with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given Stoke City FC's home defensive numbers. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–09.3%
- 1–28.5%
- 2–17.8%
- 0–07.5%
- 0–26.9%
- 2–05.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Stoke City FC | Charlton Athletic FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 7 |
| Points per match | 1.86 | 1.29 |
| Goals per match | 1.71 | 0.71 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.43 | 1.29 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 1 | 9 |
| Last 5 points | 13 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 2 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 57% | 29% |
Stoke City FC recent form
WWDWW
Charlton Athletic FC recent form
DLDDL
Recent form
Stoke City FC
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 12 conceded
- Wvs Norwich City FC1–0
- Lat Wolverhampton Wanderers FC1–4
- Lat Southampton FC1–3
- Lat Bristol City FC0–2
- Lvs Portsmouth FC1–3
Charlton Athletic FC
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 6 conceded
- Dat West Bromwich Albion FC1–1
- Wvs Preston North End FC1–0
- Wat West Ham United FC2–1
- Lat Swansea City AFC1–3
- Wvs Hull City AFC2–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 5 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Championship
Swansea City AFC vs Norwich City FC
Home
60%
Draw
21%
Away
18%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC
Home
74%
Draw
14%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 63%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Birmingham City FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
52%
Draw
23%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.