Championship · Matchweek 12

Stoke City FC vs Bristol City FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 12
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Stoke City FC win61%
Draw19%
Bristol City FC win19%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
68%
Under 2.5 goals
32%
BTTS yes
64%
Over 1.5 goals
87%
Over 3.5 goals
47%
BTTS no
36%
Expected goals
2.30 – 1.22

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Stoke City FC, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Bristol City FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.5%
  • 1–18.3%
  • 2–07.8%
  • 3–17.3%
  • 1–06.8%
  • 3–06.0%
  • 2–25.8%
  • 1–25.1%

Team comparison

StatisticStoke City FCBristol City FC
Matches played77
Points per match1.861.86
Goals per match1.711.57
Goals conceded per match1.431.43
Home / away goals scored78
Home / away goals conceded18
Last 5 points139
Last 5 goals scored107
Last 5 goals conceded37
Win percentage57%57%

Stoke City FC recent form

WWDWW

Bristol City FC recent form

WWLLW

Recent form

Stoke City FC

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 3 conceded

  • Wvs Sheffield United FC2–1
  • Wat Watford FC2–1
  • Dat Cardiff City FC1–1
  • Wvs Charlton Athletic FC4–0
  • Wvs Norwich City FC1–0

Bristol City FC

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs Watford FC1–0
  • Lvs Lincoln City FC0–1
  • Lat Southampton FC1–4
  • Wat Burnley FC2–1
  • Wat Preston North End FC3–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 3 October 2026
Last updated: 3 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
511
1X2 accuracy
47.0%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.7%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.