Primeira Liga · Matchweek 3

Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Alverca Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 22 Aug, 20:30 (BST)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Sporting Clube de Portugal win43%
Draw20%
FC Alverca win37%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
78%
Under 2.5 goals
22%
BTTS yes
76%
Over 1.5 goals
92%
Over 3.5 goals
60%
BTTS no
24%
Expected goals
2.16 – 2.00

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–27.3%
  • 2–17.3%
  • 1–16.7%
  • 1–26.7%
  • 3–15.2%
  • 3–25.2%
  • 2–34.9%
  • 1–34.5%

Team comparison

StatisticSporting Clube de PortugalFC Alverca
Matches played55
Points per match2.201.40
Goals per match2.401.40
Goals conceded per match0.801.40
Home / away goals scored74
Home / away goals conceded34
Last 5 points117
Last 5 goals scored127
Last 5 goals conceded47
Win percentage60%40%

Sporting Clube de Portugal recent form

WWWDD

FC Alverca recent form

LDLWW

Recent form

Sporting Clube de Portugal

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dat Arsenal FC0–0
  • Lvs Arsenal FC0–1
  • Wvs FK Bodø/Glimt5–0
  • Lat FK Bodø/Glimt0–3
  • Wat Athletic Club3–2

FC Alverca

No recent completed fixtures on record.

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 22 Aug, 20:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.