Primeira Liga · Matchweek 5

Sporting Clube de Portugal vs CD Nacional Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 5 Sept, 20:30 (BST)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Sporting Clube de Portugal win66%
Draw18%
CD Nacional win16%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
69%
Under 2.5 goals
31%
BTTS yes
61%
Over 1.5 goals
87%
Over 3.5 goals
47%
BTTS no
39%
Expected goals
2.41 – 1.12

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates Sporting Clube de Portugal's home scoring output above the Primeira Liga average. The model expects fewer away goals given Sporting Clube de Portugal's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Sporting Clube de Portugal, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–08.5%
  • 1–17.9%
  • 3–17.7%
  • 1–07.0%
  • 3–06.8%
  • 2–25.4%
  • 4–14.6%

Team comparison

StatisticSporting Clube de PortugalCD Nacional
Matches played57
Points per match2.200.57
Goals per match2.401.00
Goals conceded per match0.802.14
Home / away goals scored72
Home / away goals conceded35
Last 5 points110
Last 5 goals scored123
Last 5 goals conceded413
Win percentage60%14%

Sporting Clube de Portugal recent form

WWWDD

CD Nacional recent form

LLLLL

Recent form

Sporting Clube de Portugal

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 2 conceded

  • Wat Rio Ave FC4–0
  • Wvs FC Alverca3–1
  • Dat Arsenal FC0–0
  • Lvs Arsenal FC0–1
  • Wvs FK Bodø/Glimt5–0

CD Nacional

1W 1D 2L in the last 4 · 6 scored, 6 conceded

  • Lvs CF Estrela da Amadora2–3
  • Lat Vitória SC0–1
  • Wvs GD Estoril Praia2–0
  • Dat CD Santa Clara2–2

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 5 Sept, 20:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 5 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.