Primeira Liga · Matchweek 4

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs GD Estoril Praia Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Mon 31 Aug, 20:15 (BST)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Sport Lisboa e Benfica win81%
Draw12%
GD Estoril Praia win7%
Predicted score
3–0
Over 2.5 goals
76%
Under 2.5 goals
24%
BTTS yes
56%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
Over 3.5 goals
56%
BTTS no
44%
Expected goals
3.09 – 0.88

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Sport Lisboa e Benfica, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model expects fewer away goals given Sport Lisboa e Benfica's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Sport Lisboa e Benfica, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 3–09.3%
  • 2–09.1%
  • 3–18.2%
  • 2–18.0%
  • 4–07.2%
  • 4–16.3%
  • 1–05.9%
  • 1–15.2%

Team comparison

StatisticSport Lisboa e BenficaGD Estoril Praia
Matches played66
Points per match2.500.17
Goals per match3.330.33
Goals conceded per match0.831.50
Home / away goals scored51
Home / away goals conceded25
Last 5 points121
Last 5 goals scored132
Last 5 goals conceded57
Win percentage83%0%

Sport Lisboa e Benfica recent form

WWWWL

GD Estoril Praia recent form

LLDLL

Recent form

Sport Lisboa e Benfica

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wat Casa Pia AC7–0
  • Lat Real Madrid1–2
  • Lvs Real Madrid0–1
  • Wvs Real Madrid4–2
  • Lat Juventus0–2

GD Estoril Praia

0W 0D 2L in the last 2 · 0 scored, 4 conceded

  • Lvs Rio Ave FC0–2
  • Lat CD Nacional0–2

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Mon 31 Aug, 20:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 31 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.