Eredivisie · Matchweek 5

Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 4 Sept, 19:00 (BST)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Sparta Rotterdam win37%
Draw20%
PEC Zwolle win43%
Predicted score
2–2
Over 2.5 goals
79%
Under 2.5 goals
21%
BTTS yes
77%
Over 1.5 goals
92%
Over 3.5 goals
60%
BTTS no
23%
Expected goals
2.02 – 2.17

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–27.3%
  • 1–27.2%
  • 2–16.7%
  • 1–16.7%
  • 2–35.3%
  • 1–35.2%
  • 3–24.9%
  • 3–14.5%

Team comparison

StatisticSparta RotterdamPEC Zwolle
Matches played56
Points per match0.400.67
Goals per match1.401.00
Goals conceded per match3.003.00
Home / away goals scored55
Home / away goals conceded98
Last 5 points24
Last 5 goals scored75
Last 5 goals conceded1515
Win percentage0%17%

Sparta Rotterdam recent form

DLDLL

PEC Zwolle recent form

WLDLL

Recent form

Sparta Rotterdam

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 14 conceded

  • Lat SBV Excelsior1–2
  • Dvs FC Utrecht3–3
  • Lvs SBV Excelsior2–3
  • Lat FC Twente '650–4
  • Dvs Go Ahead Eagles2–2

PEC Zwolle

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lvs NEC1–3
  • Wat SC Heerenveen2–0
  • Lat FC Twente '651–3
  • Lvs Feyenoord Rotterdam0–2
  • Lat Fortuna Sittard2–3

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Fri 4 Sept, 19:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 4 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.