Eredivisie · Matchweek 3

Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Utrecht Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 22 Aug, 17:45 (BST)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Sparta Rotterdam win13%
Draw17%
FC Utrecht win71%
Predicted score
0–2
Over 2.5 goals
67%
Under 2.5 goals
33%
BTTS yes
56%
Over 1.5 goals
86%
Over 3.5 goals
45%
BTTS no
44%
Expected goals
0.96 – 2.48

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Sparta Rotterdam have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. FC Utrecht have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. FC Utrecht's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–29.9%
  • 1–29.5%
  • 0–38.2%
  • 0–18.0%
  • 1–37.8%
  • 1–17.7%
  • 0–45.1%
  • 1–44.8%

Team comparison

StatisticSparta RotterdamFC Utrecht
Matches played55
Points per match0.401.00
Goals per match1.401.80
Goals conceded per match3.003.60
Home / away goals scored55
Home / away goals conceded99
Last 5 points25
Last 5 goals scored79
Last 5 goals conceded1518
Win percentage0%20%

Sparta Rotterdam recent form

DLDLL

FC Utrecht recent form

DLDWL

Recent form

Sparta Rotterdam

0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 15 conceded

  • Lvs SBV Excelsior2–3
  • Lat FC Twente '650–4
  • Dvs Go Ahead Eagles2–2
  • Lat Telstar 19631–4
  • Lvs PSV0–2

FC Utrecht

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs Fortuna Sittard2–0
  • Wat AFC Ajax2–1
  • Wvs NAC Breda2–0
  • Lat SBV Excelsior0–5
  • Wvs Telstar 19634–1

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 22 Aug, 17:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.