Championship
West Ham United FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
67%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 57%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 2
Southampton FC vs Stoke City FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 22 Aug, 15:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Southampton FC win79%
Draw14%
Stoke City FC win7%
- Predicted score
- 2–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 42%
- BTTS yes
- 39%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 80%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 35%
- BTTS no
- 61%
- Expected goals
- 2.44 – 0.55
High confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour Southampton FC, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model expects fewer away goals given Southampton FC's home defensive numbers. Recent results also favour Southampton FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–014.9%
- 1–012.2%
- 3–012.2%
- 2–18.3%
- 4–07.4%
- 1–16.8%
- 3–16.7%
- 0–05.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Southampton FC | Stoke City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 8 | 7 |
| Points per match | 1.75 | 1.86 |
| Goals per match | 2.38 | 1.71 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.25 | 1.43 |
| Home / away goals scored | 15 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 9 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 13 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 57% |
Southampton FC recent form
DDWWL
Stoke City FC recent form
WWDWW
Recent form
Southampton FC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 6 conceded
- Lat Watford FC1–2
- Wvs Middlesbrough FC2–1
- Dat Middlesbrough FC0–0
- Wat Preston North End FC3–1
- Dvs Ipswich Town FC2–2
Stoke City FC
0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 11 conceded
- Lat Bristol City FC0–2
- Lvs Portsmouth FC1–3
- Lvs Millwall FC1–3
- Lat Wrexham AFC0–2
- Dvs Blackburn Rovers FC1–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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Home
60%
Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC
Home
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Draw
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Away
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Birmingham City FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
52%
Draw
23%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.