Championship · Matchweek 2

Southampton FC vs Stoke City FC Prediction

United Matchday prediction

Southampton FC win79%
Draw14%
Stoke City FC win7%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Under 2.5 goals
42%
BTTS yes
39%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
Over 3.5 goals
35%
BTTS no
61%
Expected goals
2.44 – 0.55

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Southampton FC, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model expects fewer away goals given Southampton FC's home defensive numbers. Recent results also favour Southampton FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2014.9%
  • 1012.2%
  • 3012.2%
  • 218.3%
  • 407.4%
  • 116.8%
  • 316.7%
  • 005.0%

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.