Championship · Matchweek 3

Southampton FC vs Millwall FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 29 Aug, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Southampton FC win39%
Draw22%
Millwall FC win39%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
68%
Under 2.5 goals
32%
BTTS yes
68%
Over 1.5 goals
86%
Over 3.5 goals
46%
BTTS no
32%
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.74

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates Southampton FC's home scoring output above the Championship average. Millwall FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Millwall FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.3%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 1–28.1%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 1–05.3%
  • 0–15.3%
  • 3–14.7%
  • 1–34.7%

Team comparison

StatisticSouthampton FCMillwall FC
Matches played87
Points per match1.751.14
Goals per match2.381.86
Goals conceded per match1.252.14
Home / away goals scored154
Home / away goals conceded410
Last 5 points85
Last 5 goals scored109
Last 5 goals conceded610
Win percentage50%29%

Southampton FC recent form

DDWWL

Millwall FC recent form

LWLDD

Recent form

Southampton FC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wvs Stoke City FC3–1
  • Lat Watford FC1–2
  • Wvs Middlesbrough FC2–1
  • Dat Middlesbrough FC0–0
  • Wat Preston North End FC3–1

Millwall FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 3 conceded

  • Wvs Norwich City FC3–0
  • Lvs Hull City AFC0–2
  • Dat Hull City AFC0–0
  • Wvs Oxford United FC2–0
  • Dat Leicester City FC1–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 29 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.