Championship · Matchweek 4

Sheffield United FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Tue 1 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Sheffield United FC win46%
Draw29%
Bolton Wanderers FC win25%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
36%
Under 2.5 goals
64%
BTTS yes
42%
Over 1.5 goals
63%
Over 3.5 goals
17%
BTTS no
58%
Expected goals
1.28 – 0.86

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Sheffield United FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline. The model credits Bolton Wanderers FC with an above-average away defensive record. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–015.1%
  • 1–112.9%
  • 0–011.8%
  • 0–110.1%
  • 2–09.7%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 1–25.5%
  • 0–24.3%

Team comparison

StatisticSheffield United FCBolton Wanderers FC
Matches played77
Points per match1.141.00
Goals per match1.291.29
Goals conceded per match1.572.00
Home / away goals scored46
Home / away goals conceded610
Last 5 points66
Last 5 goals scored79
Last 5 goals conceded913
Win percentage29%29%

Sheffield United FC recent form

WLWLL

Bolton Wanderers FC recent form

LLLWW

Recent form

Sheffield United FC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 9 conceded

  • Dat Cardiff City FC2–2
  • Dat Swansea City AFC0–0
  • Wat Derby County FC2–1
  • Lvs Preston North End FC2–3
  • Lvs Blackburn Rovers FC1–3

Bolton Wanderers FC

0W 1D 1L in the last 2 · 0 scored, 1 conceded

  • Lvs Lincoln City FC0–1
  • Dat Queens Park Rangers FC0–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 1 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.