Primera Division
Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga CF
Home
61%
Draw
24%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 43%BTTS: 42%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 12
Sevilla FC vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 8 Nov, 00:00 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 12
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Sevilla FC win39%
Draw27%
Deportivo Alavés win34%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 55%
- BTTS yes
- 51%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 71%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 24%
- BTTS no
- 49%
- Expected goals
- 1.29 – 1.20
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Sevilla FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Deportivo Alavés have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–010.7%
- 0–110.0%
- 0–08.3%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–27.7%
- 2–06.9%
- 0–26.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Sevilla FC | Deportivo Alavés |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 8 | 8 |
| Points per match | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.88 | 1.25 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 1 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 10 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 38% | 25% |
Sevilla FC recent form
WWLDL
Deportivo Alavés recent form
LLDLL
Recent form
Sevilla FC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 10 conceded
- Lat Real Madrid1–4
- Dat Levante UD3–3
- Lvs Barcelona1–3
- Wat RC Deportivo La Coruña1–0
- Wvs Valencia CF1–0
Deportivo Alavés
0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 7 conceded
- Lat RC Celta de Vigo1–2
- Lvs Atlético Madrid1–2
- Dat Athletic Club0–0
- Lvs Valencia CF0–1
- Lat Real Racing Club de Santander1–2
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 16 October 2026
Last updated: 20 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 719
- 1X2 accuracy
- 47.8%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.4%
- Exact score
- 10.7%
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Real Racing Club de Santander vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
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Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 63%BTTS: 64%
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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RC Celta de Vigo vs Real Betis Balompié
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47%
Draw
23%
Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.