Primera Division
Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga CF
Home
62%
Draw
23%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 43%BTTS: 41%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 12
Sevilla FC vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 6 Nov, 20:00 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 12
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Sevilla FC win37%
Draw27%
Deportivo Alavés win37%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 54%
- BTTS yes
- 52%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 72%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 25%
- BTTS no
- 48%
- Expected goals
- 1.27 – 1.26
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Sevilla FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Deportivo Alavés have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–010.1%
- 0–110.1%
- 2–18.1%
- 1–28.1%
- 0–08.0%
- 2–06.4%
- 0–26.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Sevilla FC | Deportivo Alavés |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 7 |
| Points per match | 1.57 | 1.14 |
| Goals per match | 1.57 | 1.29 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.57 | 1.14 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 3 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 43% | 29% |
Sevilla FC recent form
DWWLD
Deportivo Alavés recent form
WLLDL
Recent form
Sevilla FC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 7 conceded
- Dat Levante UD3–3
- Lvs Barcelona1–3
- Wat RC Deportivo La Coruña1–0
- Wvs Valencia CF1–0
- Dat RCD Espanyol de Barcelona1–1
Deportivo Alavés
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 7 conceded
- Lvs Atlético Madrid1–2
- Dat Athletic Club0–0
- Lvs Valencia CF0–1
- Lat Real Racing Club de Santander1–2
- Wvs CA Osasuna5–2
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 16 October 2026
Last updated: 16 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 645
- 1X2 accuracy
- 47.1%
- BTTS accuracy
- 56.4%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.9%
- Exact score
- 10.7%
Related predictions
Primera Division
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs CA Osasuna
Home
68%
Draw
17%
Away
14%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.